2009/05/25

Los Angeles Lakers at Denver Nuggets (Lakers lead 2-1)

NBA Playoff Preview
Los Angeles Lakers at Denver Nuggets (Lakers lead 2-1)
Monday, 9:05 pm Eastern – ESPN










SBG Global Opening Line: Nuggets - 4.5 , Total 209.5

The Denver Nuggets suddenly face a must-win game on Monday night as they host the Los Angeles Lakers in Game 4 of the Western Conference Finals. The Nuggets were surprised at home in Game 3 as the Lakers won 103-97 to take a 2-1 series lead. It was the first loss at home in more than two months for Denver.

SBG Global reports that early NBA betting has the public taking Nuggets at Home.

The Nuggets shot the ball poorly in Game 3 and shot way too many 3-pointers. "We'd go up seven, eight points and trying to get the building to erupt," Denver’s Kenyon Martin said. "We've done that so much during the season and throughout the playoffs. So, we figured that's the way it was going to be. And it's not always going to be that way. You've got to grind it out sometimes, take the tough two or get to the line and score points that way." The Nuggets left the Lakers in the game and Kobe Bryant took over late to win the game for Los Angeles. "I think we got caught up in the emotion of the moment of a great crowd, a great challenge," Nuggets coach George Karl said. "I think we tried to hit too many home runs rather than just take a single here, a double here and win the game that way. We tried to hit too many bombs.”

The mistakes that the Nuggets made cost them home court advantage which they had gained by winning Game 2 in Los Angeles. Now they must win on Monday to have any kind of chance to win this series.
The Lakers realize they were fortunate to win on Saturday and know they must play better. "We've got to come out with more focus, more energy and really just execute a lot better in the defensive end of the floor," said Bryant.

Here are the NBA betting stats for Monday’s game. The Lakers are 21-7-2 ATS in their last 30 games as a road underdog. The Lakers are 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Denver.

The Nuggets are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 home games. The Nuggets are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games overall.

SBG Global Current Line: Nuggets - 4.5 , Total 208.5

The Under is 6-0 in the Lakers last 6 vs. the Northwest. The Under is 8-0 in the Lakers last 8 Conference Finals games. The Under is 5-1 in the Lakers last 6 road games. The Under is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings in Denver between the two teams.

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